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Once we deconstruct flat history, a strange new situation
arises: historical events have potential, and must be judged on their merits.
Most of all the competition for the local future via conflict ceases to hold
sway. Such conflicts might degrade the outcome and require system return,
leapfrog, at a future date. As we examine our turning points we see this effect
in action. Modern social thought, in the dread legacy of reductionism, is
littered with conflict theories, Darwin’s the most obvious, the results of
staring at ‘flat history’ and asking how the big changes could ever occur.
Somehow randomness has to hire ‘conflict’ as the generative scheme. Then a
wistful glance at Adam Smith occurs, and ‘hard headed realists’ are finished
with ‘ethical nonsense’ as pseudo-theory gets down to the serious business of
Progress through Selfish Mayhem.
Incredulity toward ‘infranarratives’
Despite the cogency of postmodern critiques it is the ‘infranarrative’ that is really at fault in the
legitimation ideologies under examination. The ‘flat history’ desert drives the
agent in his thirst for conflict, and some theory to justify that. Economic
competition, natural selection, Hegelian dialectic and ‘negation’, class
struggle, even Kant’s ‘asocial sociability’ emerge as the leading contenders.
The place of conflict in history is historically given. Its
generalization to a ‘conflict theory’ is something else. Until you can
deconstruct flat history, conflict tends to haunt you in your search for a
mechanism of history, the key to you Big Theory. All you see is conflict,
therefore conflict must, somehow, be the key. It doesn’t follow. Marx almost
escaped from the trap, was just at the point of exposing the whole game, but we
should note that Hegel, a student of Smith, mixed ‘cunning of reason’ with
‘dialectic’, a conflict theory (!), and Marx, although rightly suspicious of the
Adam Smith effect taken as ideology, drifted into the Hegelian trap (negation of
the negation as grounds for revolutionary conflict, hence class struggle), and
was followed by Engels who bit on the Darwin hook, despite Marx’s sniffing
suspicions. Marx saw at once the connection to economic ideology, but somehow
the later Marxism became more Darwinian than the Darwinists, with violent
conflict and even class struggle mixed up with evolutionary innuendoes. It’s a
sorry history, and even the great Kant nearly falls into the trap. But he was
just on the verge and suspected rightly something different. We will take up his
suggestion in the next section, and try to rescue his viewpoint from this trap.
This is not some idealistic rejection of the place of
conflict in history. A good case can be made that martial conflict becomes so
vexatious for rival parties that the very process of conflict leads to
initiatives of peace. The place of conflict in history requires its own
analysis, as does the history of warfare. Our objection is the generalization of
this as a principle to explain everything else, as a theory of evolution.
Conflict theory, then, with a dash of Malthus, is suddenly
hallucinated as the only candidate relevant to real science. The reason is that
it is close at hand, like the teeming fields of competing life visible to the
biologist, who cannot reckon the ‘hurricane argument’ over long time periods,
for the elusive signs of directional evolution. Thus the conflict visible in the
small rises to flush out motives of all other sorts. One would have thought
someone would consider that a selfish motive is as (philosophically) ‘idealist’
as an altruistic one. Adam Smith seems to stand alone, however, as an honest
commentator about economies, where competition is indeed a clear factor that
requires careful treatment. But economic competition is not the driver of
cultural advance, and Smith never said it was. Will the real Adam Smith stand
up? The source of all these conflict theories was talking about something else.
Note, in any case, that economic competition is conducted under a system of
laws, supposedly, and immediately gets into trouble in a global field where
those laws are not always specified, the beginning and end of the woes of
‘imperialism’, as global competition. So the evolution of laws can never be
omitted from considerations of evolutionary economy.
Armed with a snapshot of the eonic effect, we can see at a glance that
there is something completely wrong with selectionist theories, these being a
special case of conflict theories. It is suddenly easy to see the problem: the
Assyrians are a good case of the fittest. After two millennia of competition,
these were the top dogs, so to speak. Then in the Axial interval new bypass
sequences appear from nowhere and outstrip this deadlock. In general, the
biggest empire is the fittest survivor. Now look at the eonic sequence that we
have already outlined in our short history of the world, starting with the early
Sumerians, who resemble the Greeks with their thriving small-scale city-states.
Note what it shows: three turning points, and two mideonic eras in between them.
Note closely, zooming in, that the mideonic periods show the fate of competitive
‘free action’, and the way this induces decline, with a strong trend toward
empire consolidation. Even religion falls into the trend.
Note then how the system is dependent on its transitions to
upgrade its act, ‘evolve’, often in a safe frontier area, and that this
generates the pattern of non-random evolution. Thus it is important to challenge
the dominant view here for we can see that it will slowly but surely degrade the
tone of modernism and provoke the dilemma of mideonic drift.
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