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System cycle, system return…
Soon we are in the first great medieval, mideonic, period. We can do what
History does to history, leapfrog 2400 years, to find ‘system return’ reflected
in the Old Testament and general Axial period. Passing on very quickly with a
marker laid down, and having witnessed the ‘birth of civilization’, or the Urban
Revolution, in the rapid advance of Egypt
and Sumer, whose separation is mostly an
illusion of relative starting points that has truncated the Neolithic, we are
now in the centuries after -3000 when we see the first crystallization of the
Sumerian-to-become-Mesopotamian and the Egyptian worlds. The pyramids get bigger
and bigger for a while. And then the process stops. By and large, fundamental
advance is gone by -2000.
After Sumer, the effect of sequential stabilization from
Akkad to the Assyrians is very notable, but leaves higher civilization in a
frozen state very quickly, as the centuries pass in a stabilization of the
original and rapidly created new traditions. Note, this is not a law. Nothing in
our account prevents ‘free action’ filling the medievalizing gap with fresh
advances. Civilization is advancing on many fronts. But somehow these worlds are
stuck on their sources. The long centuries of Egyptian civilization, especially,
seem like grandeur in stone, as the form and circumstance of its birth condition
its outcomes very clearly. The next phase will show the clear grounds for what
we are about, and give us a glimpse of this aspect of our analysis. In a bird’s
eye view, we pass dynasties of the Egyptians, the rise of Babylon, the Hittites,
the world of Ugarit, the endless frontier corners, the Hittites, and Assyrians,
the Indus, and the Shang, and the entry of many nomadic invaders into the feast
of civilization where they will in perhaps be at the right place and the right
time to experience the next period of cyclical phase.
Although our theory is
about rise, rise, rise, and not rise and fall, in fact, by -1200 we see a world
coming to pieces, in the midst of the vast expansion across Eurasia of the most
chaotic proto-capitalism, the spread of war and slavery,
and the inability of the earlier zones of first advance to perform any new
gestures different from what they have already done. We need to change gears for
a moment, from the sequential-cyclical to the parallel. We must beware of
confusing the earliest onset with the cataclysmic breakdown that occurs across
the ancient world ca. -1200. We cannot attribute rise and decline, as such, to
eonic cycles, although it might well happen that way. And it is not the same as
the ‘Iron Age’, whose beginning is much earlier and still diffusing in an
independent fashion. The new technology of iron will greatly influence what
comes, but it cannot be called the causative factor of the changes that come. It
is important to be clear that this advance is not reasonably seen as technology
generated, although the influence of new iron weapons is a clear co-factor in
the equalizing trend that suddenly sweeps across the whole field. But the basic
issue is clear, the next cycle, or system return, comes ‘on schedule’ in a broad
swath across Eurasia, a remarkable synchronous phase... |
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