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We may be about to lose theories. If we
have a theory predicting some future event we are stranded with an ambiguity,
should we bring the prediction about, or, neutral observers, simply let the
future take its course? Answer: this is incoherent. Some, disliking the
predicted future, may attempt ‘organized falsification’, making sure history
happens otherwise. Instead of a theory we end up with statements, plans,
projects, or intentions about future actions, a sort of ‘open script’, as
theory crashes on the boundary of the present. In fact, if we look at our
pattern we see that it produces these ‘projects’ as part of its
‘output’. The theory-script itself is the facilitator and/or outcome of the
turning point. A classic example is the Battle of the Ancients and Moderns.
Another is the spectrum of liberal discourses, which show high eonic
correlation. Our eonic system is itself programming the generation of theories.
Instead of a theory we
can speak of an ‘action script
’ and the ‘action sequences’ related to
them. These themselves can show eonic determination, i.e. ‘action sequences
with ideologies’ are themselves eonic data. For example, the ‘ideology
’ of the Old Testament shows direct
correlation with the eonic pattern. The term ‘action script’ is kinder than
ideology
. We could also speak of ‘protocols of
practical reason’. In historical terms, theories are about ‘what people
do’, behavioral descriptions causally intended, while ‘action scripts’ are
statements about ‘will’, or ‘practical reason’, with built in
implications for right action. And historical transformations show ‘ideologies
of action’ as the output of the transformation. This makes theoretical
objectivity very marginal. Karl Popper
’s idea of the ‘Oedipus effect’ is
appropriate here: the existence of the theory itself will change the future for
any predictions the theory might make.
Eonic
action scripts The terminology of ‘action scripts’ will be used
sparingly, but it is useful temporarily to create an abstraction of the
difference of theories and ‘protocols of practical reason’, taken as a
synonym for ‘action scripts’. We could also take about ‘eonically timed
action scripts and their sequences’, etc…
Practical
reason It was the philosopher Kant who gave us the most classic discourse on
‘practical reason’, i.e. in some distinction between theoretical reason
doing theory and practical action under the rubric of ‘will’. Whatever
stance we take toward Kant’s system here, the distinction is useful, crucially
so. Is the history of scientific research a legacy of theoretical reason as a
causal object or a construct of practical reason?
Liberalism,
a classic script A good example of an eonically timed action script is the
emergent liberalism of our third turning point, to be discussed later.
Liberalism (taken in the broadest sense) shows almost perfect correlation as a
relative transform with the eonic pattern in its last phase. Such a statement
requires defining liberalism, itself an action sequence script related to the
transformation! Similar remarks could be made about Marxism.
The
Old Testament The canonical granddaddy of eonically timed ‘action
scripts’ is the Old Testament corpus. Its ‘theory of reality’ is cast in
terms of the need for protocols of practical reason and in terms of the nth god
name sequence. This ideology/script springs into existence, as we will see
later, just around the climax of our Axial transition era, a core non-random
patterning of the eonic effect as a whole. Similar statements could be made for
the case of Buddhism.
The point is that action
sequences, ideologies, and ideas and theories are themselves output of the
transformation, rendering objectivity difficult. The action sequences emerging
from the eonic pattern in direct correlated timing create a problem of ideology.
Some notable instances are (to pick some with eonic correlation), viz. the
absolute classic, the Old Testament ‘ideology’ crystallizing near the time
of the Exile, or the Buddhist corpus, and then in modern times, liberalism,
socialism (Marxism). This is what vitiates the objectivity of Darwinism, which
is scrambling an economic script with scientific explanation. The piece de
resistance is the Old Testament script resource, with a set of
‘prophets’ anticipating a future realization of their own eonic
determinations. This led to hopeless confusion since ‘prediction’ and
‘anticipation realized’ became hopelessly confused, a clear record of the
Oedipus effect. This one was especially confusing because the ‘eonic
determination’ of the ‘nth god name sequence’ stood at the center of the
historical transformation as a self-fulfilling anticipation, if not prophecy.
Anticipation is not the same as prediction, and often has a good success rate,
like looking down at a plain from a great height. We can assess a rough terrain
‘future’, more or less. In the same way, Marx, prophecies apart, correctly
anticipates the latent issues of, e.g. class struggle, in the dynamics of
liberal systems and their coming conflicts of globalization.
In the example of the
Battle of the Ancients and Moderns, perception of the rise of the modern era is
recycled as a script amplifying the change underway, issuing this ‘script’
about ‘progress in history’, and the ‘progress of modernity against
antiquity’, soon followed several centuries later by ‘organized
falsification’. Note the eonic birth of the idea of progress, and then its
subsequent fate in the wake of its own self-creating effect. The idea of
progress recycled to theorize history has fallen on hard times, perhaps not
surprisingly, since we see ‘eonic progression’ with the idea of progress (as
a relative transform) as an inner script. As the transition to the modern
becomes the period modern the script ceases to match the ‘middle era’, and
tends towards chaotification. The Battle of the Ancients and Moderns correctly
registered the exact point in the seventeenth century when the long doldrums of
medievalism were over, and the achievements of our second turning point were
being surpassed for the first time in millennia. So we could hardly produce a
‘theory’ of our pattern, since its truth or falsity would require an
‘evidence check at the end times’ of the future of the pattern. We are out
of business here, as far as standard ‘theory’ is concerned. But we can
rescue something, if we look simply toward the past. From this perspective we
can see that a rapid turning of history is a fait accompli, as of now, so
far. Since our subject is turning points, not the persistence of what they
brought about, that’s a fair statement and a way to proceed.
This does not preempt
some future theory about the dynamics of people producing theories to create
history, and this seems to be nature’s method, but so far that’s beyond our
math level, so we will simply describe the history of theories using
periodization. These theories may themselves show eonic determination, with a
resulting realization as ‘free action’. In physics that’s not a problem.
But with theories of evolution, that may be a problem. Our ‘theory’ of
evolution is interacting with our present and may be simply a poor rendition of
the ‘real’ evolution going on. This is not a trivial issue, then, since
there is a big difference between the realization of evolution as between
Lamarck a radical and Darwin a Whiggish liberal. We will discover the ‘eonic
determination’ of evolutionary thought, and this could partially benchmark the
‘free action’ component of evolutionary realizations. Lamarck had a two
level theory, progress and deviation. Darwin sheared that down to a one level
theory, ‘natural selection does all’. The Oedipus Effect here makes a big
difference.
How can we speak of
evolution in such ideological terrain? Actually, we can’t, strictly speaking.
And yet we must. First we were in the Paleolithic in some stereotypical scene of
survival, then we are in the midst of modern social transformations. However,
there is no fallacy involved in bringing evolution into the present, and
potential future. And it might even remind us that it is a question of our
‘representations’, and how we project our present on the past. At least, in
the eonic model we develop has a failsafe in its distinction of eonic
determination and free action. And also in the discrete series of ‘evolutions
1, 2,…’ that compress an evolutionary long sequence from primordial group to
cultural stream to civilization into a common unity. A sequence of
‘evolutions’ is at work, with two levels, and we have little claim on the
deeper level, since we see only the output as our own scripts in action. In the
modern case we must see that we are inside the process, realizing some of its
output. We can however, at least, assess the full range of these action
sequences to realize that our ‘evolution’ stages a field of potential in
which our theories are sequentially dependent outcomes of the process under
description.
Note: Embedded theories The eonic effect will easily
show us that ‘theory’, indeed evolutionary theory, shows a history, the
evolution of evolutionism, and is therefore required to explain its own
self-emergence, a steep requirement. Please note that science is emerging from
our system, but that science so initiated creates a secondary ‘evolution’,
the object of which is to produce ‘theory’, i.e. causal statements about
something. And this collides with our parallel processes emerging from the same
pattern. These tend to be more closely matched to the nature of behavior, and
don’t speak about causality. They say, ‘do this’. A good example is the
emergence of ‘liberalism’, or economic ideology, which speak directly to the
‘shoulds’ of behavior. These emerged, by the way in tandem with the new
physics.
This parallel effect creates a snafu. We are going to speak
of ‘action scripts
’ that pop out of the eonic effect as ‘action sequences’ themselves
correlated with the pattern, e.g. religion, the politics of the state, the
creation of democracy, economic systems and their ideologies. This can get
confusing, because theories can become action scripts, and produce an immediate
Oedipus effect. We can see this directly in Marxism. The ‘action script’
springs directly from the ‘action sequences’ of ‘revolution’, e.g. the
French, and the effects of the new action sequence called capitalism
. This Marxist script tends to collate the ‘theory’ of society it proposes
(historical materialism) suggesting the system will produce a new transition
beyond capitalism, via a revolution. We see all the same fallacies that we saw
with Darwin’s theory. In a way that is unfortunate, because it was Marx who
first sensed the problem! He say that theory was being used to say ‘Things
should be like this because they are economic laws’, when in fact they were
simply scripts of action, and decisions of one kind or another about economies. |
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