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Looking back on the ever-expanding outline of history that archaeology and the human record present to our vision, we can isolate to observation an emerging pattern of two historical intervals or 'eonic eras', and the three transitions between them, visible as cycles of cultural and social innovation on a scale of millennia, roughly 2400 hundred years--emerging as a pattern in and of itself, and as the last visible aspect of an earlier structure originating in the
Neolithic. It is the transitions themselves, as temporal intervals of localized and rapid cultural change, in their geographical focal areas, that are of first interest, for they constitute the prime generative sources, as periods, of the steps to higher cultural complexity we call 'civilization'. That the three periods indicated represent the three most fundamental, so-far visible, turning points, divides, or transitions, of the entire world system, as of -3000, is easily demonstrable by reference to the facts of known history, and represents the fundamental claim of this study, to be clear that we are only seeing a subset of a greater process in which the New World and the Neolithic show connections, but no conclusive relation, a very conservative assessment, since they appear to fit as well. The claim is also controversial and can simply be taken as a theoretical affirmation under examination. Historicist claims can become objects of belief, we ask no belief. The eonic effect is something you see all at once.
Eonic Terminology
We need to create a set of labels for periods that are not philosophic stages. One need not concern oneself overly with this terminology, although it points to an intractably difficult analytical entity, large scale evolutionary event regions. It is sufficient to consider only terms such as 'ET5,Greece', whose sole purpose is that of archaeological graph-paper and a means to abbreviate the frequent repetition of phrases such as "During the Greek period of eonic transition ca. -900 to -600. Thus 'ET5,...' is an abbreviation for a period of time, 'ET, Sumer' a rough space-time localization, and the 'eonic effect', a term given meaning by a series of statements about these periods of transition. The full series would
be:
ET1,…' : ????? 'ET2,…' : ??-8100 to -7800 'ET3,…' : ?-5700 to -5400 'ET4,….' : -3300 to -3000 'ET5,….' : -900 to -600 'ET6,….' : 1500 to 1800
The subset in bold represents
the eonic effect. This eonic sequence or e-sequence intersects with the t-streams of individual cultures during the phasing period. The Old Testament is an indirect account of such an intersection. The Archaic age of Greece gives a clearer picture of the social fundamentals of these change periods. 'E4', 'E5', etc, refer to the intervals following, 'ET4', 'ET5',…The term 'transeonic' will indicate relationships between these eonic intervals.
Note the difference between the 'eonic effect' as a non-random
pattern, and the stronger 'frequency hypothesis', really a series of such, which
starts to retrodict back into the Neolithic. This hypothesis could fail, yet the
basic eonic effect remains, as seen in the 'Chinese boxes' of the 'transitions'
inside of previous transitions. Further, we eject into the present, with no
future predicted, which raises many questions about our place in the whole
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Once seen, it is convincing in itself. Our mode is not dogmatic, but advisory. One's position is 'downfield' with a theory relative to the last action of the eonic generation, assessing correct directed action. This theory will tend to be a 'free action script' relative to the pattern's last action, e.g. a program of modernism. The selective nature of the pattern seems askew until it is considered that the potentiality of 'free action' is omnipresent relative to the patterning of free action. This means the pattern might be a record of 'octane performance', as relative mechanization, open to higher performance. We have passed the 'law of history' issue, our
pattern can distinguish contrasts of 'lawful' and 'unique', 'forced' and 'free'. Like a thermostat, the interaction of system and event stream is intermittent and conveys no prejudice against the greater field of potential which the selection is attempting to reach. The play on different meanings of 'mechanical' is a characteristic of the pattern.
The pattern is a challenge to more simplistic
views of historical evolution, and includes the evolution of evolutionism inside
its historical statement. Any law of history, theory of cultural evolution,
religious teleology, transcendental explanation, or political action script, or
theory of economic determination, ought to explain this pattern if it claims
superstitious or pseudo-scientific authority. Darwinist evolutionary
selectionism fares poorly with this pattern. This basic pattern represents the
eonic effect. It does not follow that world history is determined by
these phases. Quite the contrary. The pattern shows no more than directionality
emerging in relation to general free action. The second phase, ‘ET5, …’
with its spectacular global parallelism, gives us the basic proof that something
far greater than local development or individual cultural evolution is
occurring. Although our subject is the eonic effect and not Universal History,
this pattern satisfies all our initial criteria for a structure of Universal
History: it is an elusive, but not exotic, dynamic, and defaults to the obvious;
it is on the scale of a driving force, and pertains directly to our most
ordinary activities in the long and the short, yet remains in the background; it
reconciles, or at least forces us to distinguish, determination and free action;
its sequence, to be visible, must require a minimum of 4800, plus an extra three
hundred years to posit the end of the second and the onset of a third period. It
allows normal action in relation to its effect, without fatalism, although this,
and the other points, require clarification. We will call the basic pattern, the
Eonic Shard, as a reminder that our developmental sequence is clipped at
the ‘relative beginning’ ‘ET4,…’, rendering all statements of general
causality at most relative. This pattern is purely empirical and
represents only a subset of what would constitute ‘Universal History’.
These phases generate (or re-transform) all
the great civilizations, oikoumenes, and higher religions that arise
after -3000, either by direct descent or by diffusion, possibly including,
indirectly, those of the New World, although in this case, in the midst of an
irresolvable controversy over diffusionism versus independent evolution, the
evidence is insufficient to decide the issue, for the New World cultures might
show evidence of the spawning of a new V-cone (see below, for ‘V-cone’). The
New World instance might thrive better on our distinction of phase and
‘civilization’ for, as we look at the close ‘ET5’ correlation of the
Mayan and Incan, but not Olmec, beginnings, we see a phase of generative
culture, as free action, a cycle behind the Old World and with many of the
elements of the ‘birth of civilization’ in a different mix occurring as a
relative beginning under ‘exotic’ or local circumstances. But we need to
come to a decision about the existence of diffusion from the Old World,
something periodization cannot solve. As the New World case makes clear, the new
V-cone springing from ‘ET4, Sumer,…’ rapidly swamps all others, leaving
unclear the earlier period of the Neolithic and before, or indeed any primordial
source of these V-cones. As our slight change of the use of the term
‘V-cone’ suggests, these cones can be subsets, the later of an earlier. The
sources of Sumerian, and Egyptian, civilization remain ambiguous, yet we can
reset our V-cone from the period ‘ET4’ in the middle East, with two
sources. We can reset them again in many parallel instances during ‘ET5’.
In a perspective beyond ideas of ‘turning
points’, we have moved toward this idea of a series of transitions
whose successive transformations, showing eonic determination and free action,
constitute an eonic sequence. Our discussion of the term ‘civilization’ has
been to dislodge the idea from the status of ‘fundamental unit’ and return
it to the qualitative domain. We have moved to adopt a different approach to a
‘fundamental unit of historical analysis’ than Toynbee’s
‘civilization’, based on a perception of phases and a reciprocity of eonic
determination and free action, and passage to ‘sequential dependency’ as oikoumene
creation in the post-transitional period. We can consider a frequency hypothesis
and then look at a series of concepts designed to assist the study of the
relevant periods, i.e. eonic jump diffusion, parallel interactive emergence,
e-sequence and t-stream, etc,... We must retreat to a more generalized concept,
the period (and finally the zone) of the emergence of relevant generations of
history, remarkably found in these turning points, and look at them as
transitional eras or phases, and build analysis around something we might call
‘net activity during phase’, and the eonic productions that emerge.
This approach solves the hopeless difficulty
Toynbee had with the ‘civilization’ as entity of a
‘dynamical-organismic’ nature. But the frequency hypothesis remains up in
the air as a partial glimpse or window on a greater process that shows no
beginning and whose future equivocates our own free future. But the pattern
itself shows just this ‘Zoroastrian snarl’ in the endless confusions over
cycles, new ages, last ages, and eschatological futurism. Our frequency
hypothesis is useful, for even if it fails, we can default to the obvious
picture of the Table of Contents and Cheshire Cat cycles of the sequence of
civilizations. It can dissolve like Alka Selzer and take cyclical nonsense with
it leaving us an empirical map of emergent civilization with its mysterious
clusters of fast advance. But the frequency hypothesis seems to work. Nature is
operating at a higher level of abstraction than the civilization. Indeed, the
case is vexed until we see the overall cyclical factor in man’s free action
creation of ‘civilizations’ in a greater structure, a classic instance being
the ‘Israelite cross-section’, whose first impetus is not a full blown
civilization, but ‘ET5, Israel’, an eonic generator, around which a slew of
cultures or civilizations is built, thus to be a tugboat for the two great
religions of Christianity and Islam. ‘Net activity during phase’ is thus a
completely valid account of the ‘eonic productions’, rather than
civilizations, whose creative outcome is the generation of civilizational
look-alikes, the great (occidental) religions.
The value and danger both of our frequency
hypothesis is that we can see why certain periods stand out, without violating
our (modernist) intuition that if we were actually present in the periods
indicated, e.g. ‘ET5, Israel’, we would, day to day, see the ordinary flow
of history. The danger is that we will in fact demote other periods as
secondary. This is not a danger since this approach is precisely the corrective
to such thinking. In fact, nonetheless, that is how we do take history, for each
of our transitions generates ‘multicultural tension’ of the ‘part
leading’ the greater whole, with a particular culture acting as generator. But
this approach is quite different, for we see a dynamic attempting to reach the
whole through the part. Again, we must be wary of claiming history is not
homogenous. Perhaps it is not. But we must think it is.
The paradox disappears if take the hints the pattern itself shows as to
the ‘transformations of consciousness’. High octane performance is merely
correlated with pattern. There is no inherent reason that we could not recover
the same high level of performance. We see our potential. It is like the record
in the long jump. We are not inherently bound by it, but we tend to take it for
granted, as an achievement in the past.
Another way to see the issue of homogeneity is
to reflect on our distinction of consciousness and self-consciousness. The
latter is potential at all times, but shows a stunning geo-temporal distribution
in the classical period. It is useful, but misleading, to equate
‘self-consciousness’ with ‘creativity’, but we can see that creativity
is potential at all times; it is rare, and seems to occur on cue in relation to
our pattern. This leaves us with a perception of the difficulty of all our
evolutionary explanations, for we could hardly expect our current knowledge to
explain cycles of creative renewal over centuries.
We seem to be seeing an expanding sequence
pumping diffusion. It is good to be wary of the chart of the eonic sequence. It
grants no teleological conclusion, and is not a linear directionality, as
the classical phase makes clear. Like a tangent to a circle, linear teleology,
if real, would only hold good, if at all, in a brief launch window. Or
conversely, cyclical directionality deviates, ETX++, from true linear
directionality. The genetic algorithm also shows ‘directionality’ in the
barest sense of ‘successive time-intervals’ by some combined
‘rule-statistics’. Our cycles or successive time-intervals might only show
amplification of directionality—perhaps in the wrong direction! The
‘teleology spawned by free action’ shows eonic emergence, but is only
mechanical relative to eonic ‘directionality’. Here the old Chinese fox, Lao
Tse, may have had the deepest wisdom—‘that which does nothing, by which
everything is done’.
The terminology, ‘ETX’, can be taken to be
neutral, not evolutionist (labeled or ‘viconian’), with respect to the study
of the characteristic transitions in their bare architecture, avoiding terms
such as ‘axial’. The classical case is the only one where we see the full
effect of ‘before, during, and after’ in the long term. In each of our
transitional areas, in this classical case, there is a clear finer structure to
these phases. The concept of transition is descriptive, with a suggestion of
associated causality. There are other ways to analyze the overall pattern. At
first our transitions seem too short, then they seem too long, then they seem to
occur here, but then over there. One might think that the period from –1200
shows signs of the ‘real onset’ of a new era. But the last two centuries
before –600 is the real ‘interrupt’. Note that the Old Testament reflects
this ambivalence. A distant memory of an early Moses, and an earlier Abraham is
tacked on to an account that rises closer to fact only after –900, sometime
after the generation of Solomon. Again in the modern case, this ‘six hundred
year version’ would extend naturally to the High Middle Ages when there is
also evidence of slow take-off. The question remains open, but in each case the
desire for ‘added continuity’ fails to grapple with the need for a model of
cultural discontinuity and acceleration. Once this becomes conceivable, the idea
of a transition, if anything, seems too long! The real work surges in less than
two hundred years. The Greek transition is exceptionally fast, and barely
visible till the eighth century. The modern case suggests the reality. The last
few generations before 1800 seem to turn on a dime. But the fact remains that
our idea of transition remains barely defined, fuzzy regions suddenly
contracting around rapid advances that then expand outwards. The ‘interior
dolmenization of values’ puts the analysis almost beyond our reach, for the
quantitative measure of intervals reflects a qualitative emergentism isolated in
source areas. And it is good to be wary of the different cases. The Roman fringe
of Greece expands outwards, and produces a very mediocre field. The Judaic
remains contracted, disappears as region, yet preserves a qualitative stance
that will conflict and caution expansion. All we can do is study
‘input-output’ as it were against a clocking mechanism we suspect embedded
in civilizational emergentism.
The Fundamental Unit of Historical Analysis
Our unit of
historical analysis is the phase and the field of diffusion it creates. The term
‘civilization’ is poorly defined and serves badly as a basis of
analysis, except to designate the content of social activity, for its instances,
although structured loosely, are always ad-hoc, that is, the result of temporal
choices and incidents, and its extent, duration, and character entirely fuzzy.
What is the start of a civilization, its finish, its duration, does it have a
beginning middle and an ending with interior structure, be it systematic,
organismic, or dramatic? It is the phases that fret duration, resolve beginnings
and endings, what arises across or in between what we may or may not care to
call ‘civilization’, as constructive incidents freely chosen, yet
empirically found to echo these phases. It is useful to bring a term
‘civilization’ into this context. But the scale of time involved shows they
are as corporations to ‘economy’. These phases do nothing, but like a
conductor in an orchestra—the analogy is dangerous—they organize sequence
and ‘stepping’. These phases wedge new middles into the problem of beginning
and ending, take over or render superfluous the dramatic metaphor, and fret the
statistics of the temporal history like a sluice gate. Any barbarian with a
sword can found a kingdom. Is this civilization? Our phases show their hand if
we consider this barbarian with a sword before, during, and after a period of
transition, and the sequence of transitions as a whole. Then again, a crowd with
a constitution, set of laws, a prophet, or a religion, can create a peopledom.
Is this democracy? We can watch this crowd before, during, and after a
transition, or a sequence of transitions, until, in our own time, having looked
back we attempt to discriminate our own free action from historical causality
and thereby create a free future or expect a new transition. We can move to
define the ‘fundamental unit of historical analysis’ in terms of an idea of
‘eonic evolution’ as the relationship of phases to their generated fields,
rather than the more qualitative ‘civilization’. The appearance of these
phases suggests an empirical frequency hypothesis, in a system of unknown source
and continuation. This analysis makes a distinction between economic,
technological, and eonic ‘sequences’, the former two continuous, the latter
discontinuous. These phases can be referred to as ‘ET4, 5, 6’ with a
suggestion, unclear, but strongly suggested, of earlier such phases.
The basic ideas are:
an emerging V-cone of diffusion in a state
of expansion. Unfortunately we don’t quite see the source of this cone in the
Neolithic, but we suspect it to show two stages beginning ca -8000. These
V-cones are like Chinese boxes, the later in a former.
a sequence of transitional periods
refreshing this expansion. Each turning point thus generates a subcone.
the relations of exterior outstanding
culture as they encounter this rippling circle of diffusion.
the given distinction of eonic
determination and free action as they alternate (in our approximation) between
the transitional period and the middle or ‘mid-eonic’ period.
the templating of those cultures in the
right zone and period during a transition
This sounds mysterious, but the basic idea is
very simple. Point three, the distinction, to be defined, of t-stream and
e-sequence, is essential, for it causes great confusion. The content of
civilization is not all generated from its beginning point, but works in terms
of the arrival of temporal streams of cultural tribes arriving at the fringe.
The Egyptians did not prefigure the Iliad. The Greek t-stream brings its
bardic tradition to the edge, and is transformed during zone and period into an
element of civilization, one whose influence persists to this day, for reasons
we often find puzzling. We see nature’s ingenious way of managing cultural
evolution in a disparate field.
One of the difficulties with the idea of
civilization, on top of our previous objections, as a fundamental theoretical
unit in the fashion of Toynbee, is that it is appropriate to the earlier phases
of history, the birth of civilization, and its failure to match the nature of
the structures that begin to arise thereafter. The Buddhists, for example,
attempt to exit or renounce civilization, and yet create one of a series of
civilizations. The common denominator is the phase of eonic determination. The
distinction, almost the mismatch, of free action and eonic determination is
clear in this case. The Hebraic prophets are the critics of civilization, as
observers of the Assyrians. And these ideas are inherently the socio-politics of
our own time, for there is no law of civilization, while there certainly is the
entailment to create a new concept, or new definition of civilization, to meet
the growing global oikoumene. The fundamental unit of civilization then
is not the next civilization, but the outstanding eonic productions of the
latest phase of eonic sequence, which amounts to our reckoning with the
diffusion generated from the rise of modernity in its grossly imbalanced western
manifestation. In any case, our fundamental unit of civilization must apply
equally to past and present, account for its own observer and his statement of
the unit, and account for his interfering free action as no exception to the
generalization. The problem is easily solved if we look at the process of oikoumene
and diffusion in relation to a transition. The unit of definition applies as
well to the ancient Egyptians as to the men, including ourselves, passing out of
the ‘modern’ transition. And our ‘interference’ in the ‘law’
fulfills it, if we take to the task of modernization as free action in the wake
of the modern transition, viz. the emergence of industrial civilization.
Our substitute fundamental should be, cycles
of phase as eonic determination and mideonic sequential dependency as free
action in a field of diffusion, and generating an oikoumene. The
progeny then are eonic emergents and eonic productions. We must move to define
all these terms in a clear manner. The products of this process can be states,
universal empires, civilizations, civilization, Buddhist sanghas, Judaic
networks, economic structures, etc,… The classical period of phase produced
the Israelite and Upanishadic eonic determination and sequential dependency in
the generation of Judaism/Christianity/Islam and Buddhism/Hinduism. This is
quite disparate, which is appropriate, for we are not bound by our own creations
on the grounds that they must follow historical laws. However we can create
generative sources that engulf us. But this is a different issue. Similar
statements could be made about political and economic structures, indeed
religious and political structures blend together. In our modern case, the issue
is not yet clear! We speak of Western civilization, but this is not useful.
For example, the
phase of local European modernization 1500 to 1800 shows accelerated evolution
and initiates a global cone of modernizing diffusion in a new generative oikoumene.
This definition dispenses with many difficulties and red-herrings. This approach
includes the villagers of Borneo as they encounter and interact with the cone of
diffusion in the frontier from ‘Eonic transition period, Europe, 1500 to
1800’, ‘ET6, Europe’. Their exact disposition in the new oikoumene
is not as yet clear, but the issue of their culture and values in relation to
the generative nexus does not subtract from their status as members, not of
‘western civilization’, but of the sequential phase structure. Tristes
Tropiques, but… Thus as observers of the past, we are in a position to
upgrade our ideas of civilization, which will indeed show sequential dependency
on the period 1500 to 1800 as eonic determination! This approach relieves us of
the analysis of civilization that we are forced to apply to ourselves as a
sociological law. We can apply the same definition to the classical phase of
emergent ‘civilizations’. The phase of Israelite and Buddhist transitional
emergence fit this approach especially well, for they bypassed the issue of
state formation, and generated templates for the generation of mideonic sequence
with a constructive series of results in ambiguous relation between state and
religion.
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