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One of the strangest aspects of the eonic
effect lies in our own immersion in its action. This makes the task of
objectivity paradoxical. How as participants in the third turning point do we at
once make statements about dynamics and do this without the dynamic getting in
the way? We need to adopt a new kind of historical theory to take into account
this situation in which an historical dynamic, which we will soon see falls into
the evolutionary category, proceeds from the distant past into our present. Part
of the paradox disappears once we realize that TP3 is a finite interval already
concluded and we not inside the eonic pattern. Our analysis applies only to the
pattern, not our present. This is the first peculiarity of this new type of
model: a system in alternation ingeniously allows this property: that the
observer is outside the field of action. This is strange, but this is actually
an invaluable situation, because it forces us to distinguish clearly the action
of individuals in relation to a large-scale system. There are very few ways to
reconcile the contradictions that arise from this circumstance, but the eonic
effect exhibits an example of the simplest way to do this: an alternating
sequence with a kind oscillation of degrees of freedom.
But we need to create a special kind of model to keep track of the
different levels at work. Life, please note, is full of such situations. We can
speak of the dynamics of traffic, but this doesn’t contradict the free
activity of the vehicles.
The clearest case then in our ‘eonic
sequence’ is the Axial interval followed by the long wane of advance resulting
finally, especially in the Occident, in the collapse of the Roman system, the
Dark Ages, and the relatively static era prior to the sudden rise of the modern
world, almost on schedule after around 1500. Why do we instinctively speak of
the 'Middle Ages'? Middle of what? We sense the pattern, without quite seeing
it. Why did world civilization show a period of such fast advance, followed by
so much sluggish idling? But this is the characteristic behavior of a particular
type of system. Progression and relative stasis. This familiar aspect of our
perception of world history is unaccountable until we see its context, and the
earlier instance of rapid advance in early Sumer and Egypt, followed by the same
kind of relatively slower advance. Further, this pattern shows a scale beyond
that of individual civilizations, and later we will see the way each step
follows a 'frontier logic'. This system is truly global in scope, with a
leapfrog effect moving between civilizations. We see that the birth of our great
traditions is simply an aspect of this pattern, its second phase.
The
periods stand out because of the rapid-fire innovations clustered in short
intervals. Here is the barest summary:
TP1 The birth of the state, appearance of writing,
onset of Dynastic Egypt, and Sumer, first higher civilizations
TP2 Onset of two world religions, multiple sources of philosophy, birth
of science, Greek democracy…
TP3 Onset of Reformation, secularism, English, French, American
Revolutions, Enlightenment, another scientific revolution, another birth of
democracy, Industrial Revolution,…
These
are just a few of the effects. We can call these effects 'eonic emergents', i.e.
intermittent bursts of suddenly emerging cultural constructs. Here’s the hard
part: these changes are relative and don't necessarily show absolute
innovations (e.g. modern science is not an absolute innovation, and shows a
complex earlier history, both medieval and eonic). So, these eonic emergents
show sudden spurts of development, but the absolute origin of their history is
another question. We take it this way instinctively. We speak of Christianity as
one continuous history, tracing its absolute origin, but we also speak of the
relative transformation we call the Reformation as interval inside that larger
history, and we see, surprisingly that this is part of our larger pattern.
Debates over continuity and discontinuity suffer endless confusion over
abstraction. But here, armed with such a large-scale example, we see resolution
of the paradox, and might do well to avoid such terminology, save to note that
the pattern perfectly reconciles the two confusions. World history shows a
continuous aspect, and a discontinuous one also. Both perspectives are correct,
there is a discontinuous phenomenon overlaid on continuous history, what we will
later call a stream and sequence effect. As noted already this correctly applies
as well to any concept of acceleration, a term we shall abandon from here on,
since we are not dealing with a system of physical laws.
Relative transforms We must be
quite wary of TP1, since the data begins to thin very rapidly. The ‘appearance
of writing’ must show, not necessarily an absolute beginning, but a relative
transform inside what might be a longer continuous history stretching back
into the Paleolithic of man’s ‘activity with ‘signs and symbols’.
Not only that, but this transform, as is so clear from the Axial Age
examples, must be inside the turning point (whose length we have not even
specified as yet, about three centuries we will claim). However, as we zoom out
we see the larger pattern of (relative)
beginning followed by the characteristic ‘mideonic’ falloff, so evident in
the later post-Axial period. This, quite obviously, is a very steep set of
requirements for our analysis, to distinguish ‘discontinuous’ overlay on
‘continuous’ history, but the key to its success. Look at TP3 and the
Protestant Reformation, an obvious case of a relative transform inside
the turning point interval (about 1500 to 1800).
The
clustering of eonic emergents in our series is massive, and at first
inexplicable. Pick any cultural category, and the chances are that it will show
amplification in this pattern. Philosophy? The Pre-Socratics, TP2. The birth of
democracy? Axial Greece and the modern transition, TP2, TP3. Virtually all the
basic higher cultural (i.e. more than just technological/economic) advances of
civilization take place in this framework. It is easy to find the lineage by
diffusion of most civilizations relative to this pattern, with significant
exceptions due to the incompleteness of our pattern.
New World Civilizations This
pattern is comprehensive, yet does not so far explicate the issue of New World
Civilizations. A pattern such as this has one complication: we must study the
tracks of diffusion throughout, not a simple task. Since we have spoken only of relative
changes, nothing in what we are saying claims to show either the absolute
origin of civilization inside the pattern we have, nor do we reject the
possibility of independent creation of civilization(s). However, that
suddenly seems unlikely, and the overwhelming influence of the eonic pattern in
all other cases leaves us to wonder if some element of Old World diffusion is
not present in the New World Civilizations.
This
point is tricky, but absolutely as it should be. In a school, homework might be
assigned by schedule, but you could do it in your own time. But would you know
how? We see that the Axial Age, so-called, is simply the second step in a short
series of intermittent transition-like intervals. It is visible in the
extraordinary appearance of a multitude of sages, prophets, and cultural
innovators, spread across Eurasia in the time frame -900 to -400. This
intermittency is the key: something is operating in a macro effect generating a
set of relative transformations of extant cultural streams. Something switches
on, and does this it would seem on schedule, and then as quickly the
effect wanes. We can even see why the particular areas in eonic focus get
selected: they are strategically placed, and follow a frontier effect. No area
is used over again.
The
'rise of civilization' at TP1 is a temporary misnomer, being really a kind of
relative stage of what must be earlier history that we don't see clearly, as
yet. This is another typical case where ‘slow and fast’ development
explanations have confused analysts, without a rationale for ‘relative
transformations’. As research proceeds complex antecedents leading up to this
point will obviously become visible. It is almost the same as the confusion
between the Middle Ages and the sudden rise of modernity. Discontinuous and
continuous are both at work simultaneously. This puzzling point seems impossible
to grasp, but the Axial Age shows the stark reality of this kind of paradoxical
behavior. Chinese history shows a strong continuity from the Shang period
onwards. But right on schedule in the Axial interval we see a cultural
transformation of whatever was already there developing by another process. Note
the TP2 interval, the Axial Age: it is a relative transformation and not
some kind of absolute beginning. That is a very strange way, at first, to
take the question. But then we see that TP1 has the same structure and
character, but less advanced. Clearly there were complex antecedents of what we
see in early Sumer, and, to a lesser degree, Egypt. Dynastic Egypt dramatically
emerges with exact eonic timing. Thus, the so-called Axial Age (which can also
be fruitfully studied in isolation) makes no sense until we see it as part of a
larger sequence of 'Axial Ages', or relative transformations. As we move
backwards and forwards we discover the only real candidates for this, and we can
indeed see that these periods almost echo each other. The inclusion of the 'rise
of the modern', a very vague term, is at first puzzling, but as we explore the
details of the modern transformation we discover the remarkable logic of the
whole pattern. Much confusion arises in the attempt to either define modernity
as an outgrowth of the Middle Ages, or else a spontaneous new era starting in
the sixteenth/seventeenth century. But here we see that modernity as a relative
transformation of our type easily reconciles the contradiction, if we can get a
sense of its place in a larger world system generating intermittent phases.
The term ‘eonic’ In the midst of a complexity of
civilizations and their cultural dimensions, one that defies easy understanding,
we detect a very simple kind of system at work, one following some very
characteristic properties of operation, which we can isolate. We can call this
combined pattern the 'eonic effect'. The term 'eonic' can be taken to mean
'intermittent' with an obvious pun on 'eon', or age-periods. Another pun is 'eonic'
in the sense of digital samplers in electronics (type 'eonic into Google for a
dozen examples). At each stage a sampling selection of cultural elements occurs,
and these undergo relative transforms that amplify into new forms.
We confronted with the fact that a cyclical
interpretation of the data is the right one, as long as we are careful about
what we mean by this, and steer clear of the traditional confusions of such
thinking. The pattern shows an odd resemblance to a continuous frequency sampled
at regular intervals, this being a metaphor only. The wavelength would be about
2400 years. The Axial interval seems to 'sample' the cultural totality it finds
in place and amplify selected strains into a new form. Thus monotheism, in
various inchoate forms, is already present in the prior cultural zones, but in
the Axial period, with remarkable precision, these strains are blended into a
focused religious formation that will later blossom into a series of world
religions, these religions being outside the Axial interval. The Old Testament
in fact makes this point with its contrast of an Abrahamic era (whether or not
Abraham existed) and the era of the Prophets, faithfully reflecting our eonic
analysis. The same is true in India, where depictions of yogis go back millennia
before the Axial period, but this cultural strain suddenly crystallizes as an
expanding religious formation, Buddhism, in the wake of the Axial interval.
These are 'relative transformations'. The point must be considered since the
idea of the Axial period has shown a kind of runaway interpretation as a secular
version of an 'age of revelation', which is misleading. Another confusion is the
idea of some kind of 'Axial thematic' or core philosophy. Hardly the case:
almost everything transformed had a prior history, as we have suggested. And the
many eonic emergents, or emerging innovations, show a dialectical variety,
encompassing many opposites, e.g. the 'atheism' of Buddhism, versus the 'theism'
of the monotheistic stream.
The core eonic effect The best
explanation of our data is with a frequency hypothesis, but this creates a
speculative question mark about our incomplete pattern, as we track backward in
2400 year intervals in search of prior phases. We can use this hypothesis as an
extra beyond the basic 'core eonic effect' consisting of TP2, and TP3, basically
the Axial Age and the rise of the modernity, leaving the greater pattern to
further research. TP1 is certainly the antecedent here, but as we study TP3 we
discover significant structure at the decades level of timing, and this degree
of data we don’t have yet for the first period. The core eonic effect makes
sense on its own terms if we simply consider it as showing a 'system in some
kind in drumbeat alternation', whatever its antecedent steps (which may go back
to the Neolithic or beyond). In addition to the core eonic effect we have a
useful falsifiable hypothesis of frequency for this mysterious pattern.
We
see three rapid threshold crossings or stepping progressions with 'medieval'
periods in between of slower advance. Note how the Axial period rapidly falls
off and in the Occidental zone we see the period of innovation yield to the long
centuries of the Roman Empire, followed by an almost complete collapse of the
advance in the Middle Ages. The term 'mideonic' would be better than 'medieval',
which has a specialized meaning. But notice how we instinctively sense the 'middleness'
of the Middle Ages: we can't help but notice this eonic periodization. The
larger pattern shows why. These transitions we can estimate at about three
centuries, the first or generative part of a five century interval at each step.
Clearly the extra two centuries is really part of the mideonic interval and
simply shows the slingshot takeoff after the transition, followed by a rapid
damping out of the driving transition.
Transition
1: the relative stage of
advance in Egypt, Sumer, ca. -3300 to -3000
Mideonic period 1
Transition 2: the Axial interval, ca.-900 to 600
Mideonic period 2
Transition 3: the rise of modernity, ca. 1500 to1800
Mideonic period 3: our present?!
The
three century interval seems quite artificial, and could be measured in various
other ways, but once we study the modern case we will realize that it is
probably close to exact, if only as a statistical region. Note that we are
outside of the modern transition, but at the end of the full five-century
interval of modernity in contemporary times, and the sense of sudden
‘postmodernity’ arises spontaneously (and quite incoherently: the object of
the exercise is to maintain, not deviate, from ‘modernity’).
Punctuated equilibrium Although we
will avoid the term 'punctuated equilibrium', due to its prior usages, this
pattern is an almost perfect case of this idea, the words simply taken in their
dictionary sense. The normal flow of continuous history is 'punctuated' three
times in a stepping stone sequence. This should be the defining example for the
whole idea of a punctuated equilibrium, the one truly documented case of this
phenomenon, clearly having nothing to do with genetics. However the
‘equilibrium’ periods are not truly stable, or static. The punctuations are
inducing independent growth in the cultures touched. The entire globe goes
through a series of convulsions and generates a master sequence of oscillations
on continuous history.
This
is not a universal global phenomenon, but one occurring in a complex mainline
that leapfrogs between cultural zones. Later,
by defining the relationship of history and evolution, we will be able to call
this stepping stone progression an 'evolution of some kind', the 'eonic
evolution of civilization', with a question about the relationship of this to
earlier stages of the descent of man. Such a clear case of a 'macro' process
operating on the micro stream of history makes us suspicious of Darwinian
thinking about man, at least.
This
pattern, once seen, is highly coherent, and defies all odds of being random, not
only because of its clustering, but also because of its interior significance.
The pieces of the puzzle have sudden new meanings once conjoined, and make sense
on their own terms. This system is evolving higher civilization, but only
partially since the effect merely seeds new starts and leaves the result
unfinished. Later we will elaborate on this with our distinction of 'system
action' and 'free action'. We are almost helpless: the pattern forces itself on
us, even though its complexity would seem to surpass our powers of
comprehension. The pieces of this puzzle fall into place in the corner of a
still larger puzzle and we can recognize what is going on without having the
full data set or any understanding of what is driving this amazing process with
independent branches that don't communicate and remorph so fast mutual diffusion
could not explain them. And it is clear that our triple sequence is merely a
fragment of a greater whole, probably encompassing the Neolithic and before.
Later we will propose a frequency hypothesis for our sense that this
intermittent series is a set of equally paced transitions with their intervals
between them.
The
Axial Age, terminology we will move to replace with something better, is
the term created by Karl Jaspers who attempted to synthesize a series of
observations accumulating since the nineteenth century. The sudden synchronous
appearance of cultural innovation in Rome, Greece, the Middle East, India and
China in a period centered on -600 is inexplicable under conventional
assumptions. Standard causal reasoning about the 'evolution of cultures' fails
because of the simultaneity of relative advances in these separated areas. There
is some kind of global factor operating independently of particular
civilizations. This is not the evolution of cultures, but a series of
time-slices of multiple cultures in parallel. Since this period produces a
series of world religions a confusion has arisen over the idea of some kind of
'spiritual age', but a closer look shows that the full effect is
multidimensional. For example, in the case of Greece we see the emergence of
philosophy, science, democracy, and much else that doesn't fit into a religious
framework. Behind Buddhism we see Upanishadic yogis, and these shade into a set
of philosophers. Heraclitus is a philosopher, but he is a little bit like a
sage-yogi. Pythagoras is an actual 'yoga philosopher', almost explicitly.
Confucius is a philosopher, but his work produced a kind of semi-sacred,
semi-secular 'culture philosophy' rather than a religion. Clearly our categories
blend between themselves at this stage prior to differentiation into philosophy
and science.
Our
pattern shows a recursive action. In a real sense the Greek Enlightenment is a
first draft of the modern Enlightenment, and gives birth to all the essential
characteristics of modern secularism. The resolution of the paradox of common
denominator will turn out to be fairly simple, and will emerge as we go along.
But the basic idea resembles the contrast of libertarian and collectivist
perspectives: all the way through we see the dialectic of state and individual.
We see the evolution of the state balanced by the evolution of the individual.
Then the religions do the same thing. Note how the first eonic step creates the
rise of the State, while the second starts to generate the freedom factor of the
individual inside the state, Greek democracy. With this clue, we see that
'religions' are simply dialectical variants of the state/individual nexus, with
the idea of the state found wanting before the possibility of a still larger
transcultural aggregates. This play of collectivist aggregates and individuals
is present throughout. The connecting point is the 'self-consciousness' of man
as individual versus the mechanized consciousness of man as state person. The
libertarian/collectivist paradox is especially clear in the religions generated
in the wake of the Axial Age, and we see the way they talk to the
self-consciousness of the individual, yet leave us (moderns) puzzled by their
clear collectivist tendencies. But we see this is no paradox at all. The
state/religion 'paradox' should be obvious from the all time classic Axial
transition phenomenon: the 'Israel/Judah' transformation in the Old Testament,
simultaneously a state history and the generation period of the materials for a
series of later religions. It is worth remembering this point: the Axial
interval shown by the Old Testament is the chronicle of a State history, not the
creation of a world religion, which comes much later. We must constantly refine
our top-level observations, and be wary of teleological assumptions.
The
question of the Axial Age is puzzling until we see its greater context, and the
rise of the modern world in many ways contains the key to its understanding.
More specifically we have already touched on an integrating clue in the thinking
of Kant, whose analysis of the antinomy of causality and freedom provides the
tool for the creation of a model for the eonic effect. More than that the
'triplet' 'divinity, soul, free will', so cogently conjoined by Kant, will be
discovered to show the transition points not only between philosophies of
freedom, viz. a Kantian liberalism, Big Histories as myths of 'cosmic
agents" and (Upanishadic) religions of 'soul' (or no-soul as in the case of
Buddhism), but also between civilizations themselves. We see Archaic Greece
giving birth to ideas of freedom, Israel to 'cosmic agent' histories, and India
to 'soul' or 'consciousness religions'. The discovered inherent unity of these
permutations at one stroke exhibits the deep coherence behind the eonic pattern.
The
idea of the 'modern transition', as the next step in a progression, another
'Axial Age', seems strange at first, but makes so much sense of the data that we
are driven to see its logic in terms of the eonic effect as a whole. The status
of these statements is not dogmatic and we will adopt a heuristic 'try it and
see' approach. We will suddenly see that the rise of the modern has a buried
structure, visible, for example, in the phenomenon we will see later in the
Great Divide. This can also help to integrate our study of world history beyond
the confusions of Eurocentrism, postmodernism, religion/secularism,
collectivism/libertarianism. The keynote is a process of globalization, and the
cultural integration processes revealed in the eonic series highlight the
evolutionary process underway. This globalization, however, is much broader and
more comprehensive than the current 'economic globalization' we see in the wake
of the modern transition. Globalization means just what it says: something of
almost Gaian proportions able to generate this eonic series across many
millennia, staging a kind of global implosion from a set of isolated hotspots.
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