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The data of the eonic effect is at first very
puzzling, but its suggestion is very direct: the rise of modernity is a
phenomenon connected to our eonic sequence. This is a very strange way to take
the question, at first, but used with care, this idea will resolve many of the
paradoxes of historical analysis. We have even thrown light on the intractable
difficulties of Eurocentrism, because we can see that the ‘modern
transition’ is just that, a transition, following a frontier effect, that
takes off right on schedule just at the fringes of the old Roman oikoumene. The
effect thus has nothing as such to do with ‘European civilization’, a notion
that will blind us to what is going on. We can then look at the phenomenon of
the Great Divide, one of the most spectacular moments of world history,
notwithstanding the considerable postmodern dialectic to which it has been
subjected.
The
Great Divide As noted, if we adopt the transition model for the eonic
pattern, we indirectly imply that there is an end to the transitional interval
and this gives us one of the great interior ‘predictions’ of the eonic
model. We saw this in the case of Greece and Israel. 2400 years later to the
decade, another example is evident. This means we should examine the period
around 1800 (or, more roughly 1750 to 1850) to see if we can detect this effect.
In fact, we have stumbled on the explanation for one of the most remarkable
periods in world history, a generation of massive innovations encompassing all
aspects of culture, from the Enlightenment to the birth of modern capitalism to
the French Revolution and the rebirth of democracy. We can see now that the
intensity of this period is no accident. We note also that much that was
innovative in this period was clearly gestating from the time of sixteenth
century.
Indeed,
our transition very clearly ignites in the sixteenth century, with the
Protestant Reformation, and parallel to this we see the rapid emergence of the
Scientific Revolution. The conflicts of the Reformation yield to the real birth
of modernity in the seventeenth century, and we witness the birth of the
Enlightenment period. By the end of the eighteenth century the basic interval of
the transition is complete, and we see the remarkable phenomenon of the Great
Divide, at close hand. We suddenly have some accounting for the fact that the
generation around 1800 is immensely fertile and packed with innovations in all
fields. Then, just as clearly we can see the system changing gears, as it
disengages from the eonic sequence into its mideonic New Age, in an explosion of
novel developments. This is confusingly associated with the birth of modern
capitalism, but the overall picture is more complex than simple economics.
As
we come close to home, the issues of ideology become critical. We must find some
way to define the observer of the system we are describing. In fact, we have
already done so and called him an eonic observer. The problem is that this
observer is a creature of the very system he wishes to describe. But we can at
least describe this whole eonic effect, leaving open its interpretation(s).
In fact, we are all already 'eonic observers' and every time we use the
term 'modern' we give expression to this fact. We have already noted the way we
sense the eonic effect without quite seeing its overall scale or meaning, and
this is a good example. We have a clear sense that a new era of history comes
into existence, and our usage is independent of the content or geographical
region in which this is to occur. We have a tendency to speak of 'Western
Civilization', but as we can see already this is misleading. Miletus, one of the
prime sources of the Greek transition, would technically be considered
'Eastern', and the braiding of Athens and Jerusalem, to say nothing of concealed
elements of Indian religion, make the term problematical. Not only that, but our
usage of the term 'civilization' is conditioned by the focus on a different
'unit of analysis' instead of the civilization. Our focus as an alternate unit
is on the transition and the oikoumene it creates.
We
can see that 'modernity' makes complete sense if we think of it in terms of a
'modern transition' of about three centuries from 1500 to 1800, at which point
the system crosses its divide into the modern period proper. We never really
answered the question as to why we take a transition as three centuries in
length, but the modern transition makes this especially clear, for the whole
period has a greater unity that makes it plausible as an integrated
transformation. That the Protestant Reformation seems to contradict the final
theme of secularization misses the point entirely, and it is not hard to see how
the climactic point of the Enlightenment springs from the revolutionary and
implicit issue of freedom that the Reformation dramatizes so clearly in its
'revolution against theocracy' and emphasis on religious individuality. The
sixteenth century is as innovative as it is convulsive, and its climax in the
Thirty Years War initiates the sudden clearing of the air that produces the
equally remarkable seventeenth century, the birth in seminal form of almost all
the institutions of the modern world. The second half of our transition then
produces the flowering of the Enlightenment, and we have noted this as the Great
Divide. Thence we have the new world of science, democracy, liberalism, and
capitalist economies by which we tend to define modernity. But it is important
to note that our transition is a complete spectrum of possibilities, that it has
several Enlightenments, and that it is not exclusively associated with
capitalist economics. Capitalism is an outcome of the modern transition and not
the other way around.
This
way of taking modernity is that of its creators and early epigones. There has
been a considerable postmodern revisionism at work trying to downplay the
significance of the modern transformation. None of this is out of bounds, and
there is no reason a critique of modernity cannot enter modernity itself. But
such reactions miss the obvious point, obvious to all participants, that the
rise of the modern, however it be judged, was a massive turning point, that it
swiftly outstripped its own traditions, and that once accomplished it was
impossible to undo.
This
revisionism has also tended to look for the achievements of the modern
transition earlier in the Middle Ages. This question has befallen the attempt to
equate modernity with capitalism, for example. But capitalism simply isn't the
defining institution of the modern transition, anymore than monotheism is the
definition of the Axial Judaic transition. If we look closely we see a good of
goddess worship still at work among the Israelites! The gestating of monotheism
climaxed near the divide as it brought to fruition the rising from
latency of a distinct strain of monotheism. A similar history of capitalism
shows the elements of capitalism coming into existence (and the fact that they
were already there, in some sense) throughout the period after the Reformation,
coming together in crystallized form during the Industrial Revolution, again at
the divide. This timing, we can now see is not coincidental.
It
is natural to try and find the causal antecedents of modernity in the middle
ages, and there is nothing wrong with this. Our stream and sequence analysis
suggests this double aspect. But now we have a larger model with some wallop and
it suggests a deeper 'causality of another kind', on the level of the eonic
sequence itself. Not since the Axial period have we seem such a rapid fire
transformation, and what is more this resembles the Greek transition in
considerable detail, from the rebirths of democracy and science to the
appearance of a period we call the Enlightenment.
The
great master chord of modernity is the emergence of the idea of freedom and the
nexus of ideas surrounding this. In this sense the emergence of liberalism has
to considered for what it is, an independent synchronous emergentism in parallel
with the rise of science. It is important to consider this point since we tend,
in an age of later scientism, to define modernity in narrow terms of a type of
rationality based on scientific universalism. But the birth of the modern was
more complex than this, and it more accurate to say that 'causality and freedom'
together form the 'dialectic' of modernity.
It
is ironic therefore that the idea of freedom contains all the elements of the
mystique of the sacred and yet expresses this in secular form. The modern
transition wants nothing from a 'sacred age', and in any case creates a
pluralistic stage of religious freedom in which the heritage of antiquity can
find its place. And our transition spawns a virtual novelty, the revolution,
whose effect is clear almost from the German Social Revolution in the early
sixteenth century in concert with the Reformation, itself certainly another
revolution. The cascade of revolutions, to the English Civil War thence to the
French Revolution, is characteristically symptomatic of modernity, but an
endless controversy arises over their significance. It is too little noted that
most of these revolutions fail, and that that modernity appears from a broader
spectrum of causes than simple revolutions against traditional political forms.
And yet, willy nilly, these revolutions, almost symbols rather than causally
constructive, are the omens of the emergence of the great early liberal age.
This issue has been clouded by the great confusion that overtook the concept of
revolution in the wake of Marxist thought. We can only conclude with Marx that
these revolutions were 'bourgeois revolutions' that produce liberal success
stories whose continuations as projected socialism occurred well outside the
transition itself. The issue of some kind of post-capitalism, an important issue
for the future, without a doubt, simply does not occur inside our modern
transition, one reason no doubt that Marxists were unprepared for unexpected
outcomes of trying to undo the modern transition as soon as it appeared. Clearly
our eonic model, which doesn't really settle the question here, nonetheless
accurately reflects the facts of what the modern transition does, and shows why
ill-conceived models of revolution based on the misleading evidence of its
embedded revolutions have gone awry. This is not a new form of legitimation of
capitalism (in the sense of making it a teleological stage of history), only
that its emergence in concert with liberalism is a prime eonic incident, where
ad hoc revolutionary schemes were simply harebrained adventurism. That says
nothing, again, about the future, and we must emphasize that injecting
historical inevitability into the post-eonic future is most ill-advised. Our
model comes to the end of its last transition and comes to a stop, a great
advantage--or disadvantage of this kind of model.
One
revolution that did succeed was that of abolitionism. We can listen respectfully
to Christians attempting to explain why Christianity began the struggle against
slavery, but we can only conclude in the end that the modern abolitionist
movement appears like an apparition near the modern divide and gets the job
done, where before it was mostly talk. That some of these abolitionists were
Christians is hardly convincing. They show eonic determination as 'Christians in
the eonic sequence' while Christians outside the sequence showed very little
effort in this regard. It is nonetheless true that abolition is gestating from
the Axial period (or before) and that the birth of freedom, however stillborn
and partial, is also rightly taken as an achievement of that prior stage of the
eonic series.
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